Emotional Framing
in Electoral Media

Which Issues Drive Polarization?

Arush Arora

United World College of South East Asia

arora95448@gapps.uwcsea.edu.sg

Decoding the Divide

Watch the video presentation of this research

The Polarization Crisis: By the Numbers

77%
Republicans seeking aligned news sources
(Pew 2025)
34%
Record low percentage identifying as moderate
13%
Americans saying news covers elections "very well"
59%
Republicans with no trust at all in mass media

The US is now tied with 18 other countries for highest rates of internal polarization, with social isolation and mutual distrust at all-time highs (The State of the Nation Project).

Abstract

This study analyzes 3,548 news articles across 8 political topics from left- and right-leaning media ecosystems, spanning three presidential election cycles (2016, 2020, 2024). Using DeBERTa-v3 models trained to detect emotional framing intensity with 91% human agreement accuracy, we classify articles into three tiers: Neutral → Loaded → Alarmist.

Key findings reveal that civil rights emerges as the most emotionally polarizing topic (56.8% flagged as loaded/alarmist), with systematic partisan asymmetries—right media employs higher emotional intensity across 7 of 8 topics, with the largest gaps in healthcare (19.1%), crime (16.4%), and taxes (15.1%).

Counter-intuitively, electoral periods do NOT systematically amplify emotional framing, challenging "permanent campaign" assumptions and suggesting emotional framing is structurally embedded rather than situationally driven by electoral timing.

1. Introduction

Current research on media polarization focuses primarily on single-election case studies or specific outlets in isolation. This analysis fills critical gaps by systematically comparing emotional framing patterns across 3,500+ articles from left- and right-leaning outlets, spanning three presidential election cycles and eight political topics, using natural language processing models specifically trained to detect differences in emotional loading.

Research Gaps Addressed

  • Longitudinal analysis across multiple election cycles (2016, 2020, 2024)
  • Systematic comparison of left vs. right media ecosystems
  • Topic-specific emotional framing patterns across 8 political issues
  • Election vs. non-election period comparison to test temporal effects

Partisan Asymmetries in Media Framing

Prior research has documented distinct partisan patterns in media framing strategies:

Right-leaning sources show higher rates of moral-emotional language and out-group vilification (Brady et al. 2017), prioritizing individual responsibility and threat frames (Gentzkow and Shapiro 2010; Martin and Yurukoglu 2017).
Left-leaning outlets emphasize empathy frames and systemic explanations, with moral indignation about inequality and empathetic concern for marginalized groups.
Conservative media demonstrates consistent "outrage discourse" combining emotional provocation with existential threat claims (Gross et al. 2019).

2. Methodology

2.1 Data Collection

News articles were collected from Media Cloud, a comprehensive consortium administered by MEA Group, UMass Amherst, and Northeastern (originally incubated at Harvard & MIT) that tracks digital media ecosystems. We utilized pre-validated collections of left-leaning and right-leaning news sources, curated based on audience composition data, editorial positions, and third-party bias ratings.

Left-leaning sources

  • • CNN
  • • MSNBC
  • • New York Times
  • • Washington Post
  • • HuffPost
  • • Vox
  • • Slate
  • • Mother Jones

Right-leaning sources

  • • Fox News
  • • Wall Street Journal
  • • New York Post
  • • Breitbart
  • • Daily Caller
  • • The Blaze
  • • Newsmax

2.2 Classification System

Articles were classified using DeBERTa-v3 models specifically trained to detect emotional framing intensity. The three-tier classification system:

Neutral
Measured, sourced, proportionate tone with minimal emotional language
Loaded
Emotionally charged language, moralizing framing, selective emphasis
Alarmist
Imminent threat framing, catastrophic language, existential urgency

Model Validation: DeBERTa-v3 models achieved 91% human agreement accuracyon held-out validation sets, demonstrating robust performance in detecting emotional framing patterns.

2.3 Final Corpus

Total: 3,548 articles

Complete text and metadata across all conditions (8 topics × 2 outlets × 3 cycles × 2 periods)

3. Results

3.1 Overall Emotional Loading by Topic

Civil Rights56.8% loaded/alarmist
Highest
Climate Change~41% loaded/alarmist
Healthcare / CrimeModerate loading
Taxes / Immigration / Inflation / JobsLower loading

Key Finding

Civil rights emerges as the most emotionally charged topic, reflecting fundamental democratic tensions around equality, justice, and group identity. This finding aligns with theoretical expectations that identity-based issues trigger stronger emotional responses than purely economic concerns.

3.2 Partisan Asymmetries

Right Media: Broad-Spectrum Emotional Strategy

Right-leaning outlets employ higher emotional intensity across 7 of 8 topics, with largest gaps in:

19.1%
Healthcare
Right > Left gap
16.4%
Crime
Right > Left gap
15.1%
Taxes
Right > Left gap

Climate Change: Bidirectional Mobilization Anomaly

41.8%
Left Media Climate Framing
  • • Existential crisis narratives
  • • Moral urgency appeals
  • • Catastrophic consequences emphasis
41.4%
Right Media Climate Framing
  • • Economic threat narratives
  • • Freedom/regulation concerns
  • • Skeptical but emotionally charged counter-framing

Theoretical Insight: Climate change represents bidirectional emotional mobilization where both sides employ high-intensity framing from opposing moral foundations.

3.3 Electoral Context Effects

Challenging Conventional Wisdom

Counter-intuitive finding: Electoral periods do NOT systematically amplify emotional framing across topics. Many issues show higher flagging during non-election periods, challenging "permanent campaign" assumptions.

This suggests emotional framing is structurally embedded in partisan media ecosystems rather than situationally driven by electoral timing.

4. Conclusions

Empirical Findings Summary

  1. 1.Civil rights emerges as most emotionally polarizing topic (56.8% flagged loaded/alarmist)
  2. 2.Systematic partisan asymmetries across most issues, with right media employing higher emotional intensity as core strategy
  3. 3.Electoral periods do NOT amplify emotional framing—challenging conventional assumptions about campaign effects
  4. 4.Right media employs higher emotional intensity as broad-spectrum strategy (7 of 8 topics)
  5. 5.Topic-specific patterns reveal complex mobilization dynamics, with climate showing rare bidirectional parity

Policy Implications

Tailored media literacy interventions:Educational programs must address topic-specific emotional patterns and partisan asymmetries
Platform regulation considerations:Algorithmic amplification systems must account for asymmetric emotional mobilization patterns
Democratic institution requirements:Sustained emotional polarization monitoring needed to track erosion of shared democratic discourse

Additional Resources

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